Two successive occasions resubmitted sampling scheme-based control chart

In this paper, a resubmitted sampling-based successive sampling over two successive occasions control chart is proposed to monitor the underlying characteristic of interest. Auxiliary information of the first occasion is utilized to monitor the relative change in the study variable over the second occasion successively despite high degree of correlation. The structural and operational design is presented along with the comparative performance evaluation. The average run length is used as a performance evaluation measure and proved the argument in favor of the presented concept in comparison with the other auxiliary data control charts. The implementation is explained through two real examples.     

基于数据挖掘的开源电子资源访问行为统计模型

为了解决当前图书馆资源个性化推荐过程中存在推荐的准确率、召回率以及效率较低的问题,采用二维距离模型构建用户社区模型,用于描述访问用户与图书馆开源电子资源之间的关系,并对互联网用户需求和访问行为进行模糊规则推理.依据互联网用户属性和图书馆资源访问需求属性之间的模糊规则,建立图书馆开源电子资源访问行为统计模型,并利用该模型向用户提供个性化推荐服务.仿真结果表明,所建模型的推荐召回率高达98. 4%,推荐准确率为99. 2%,运行时间小于0. 04 s.所建模型能够为互联网用户提供准确、高效地图书馆资源个性化推荐服务.     

认知双向中继网络在κ-μ衰落信道下的中断性能分析

针对认知双向中继网络在进行数据传输时面临的复杂无线信道场景问题,采用广义κ-μ分布构建认知双向中继网络中的视距和非视距无线传输信道,推导次网络在κ-μ衰落信道下的统一中断概率,并分析次网络在多种单一和混合衰落信道情况下的中断性能。仿真结果表明,无线信道的衰落程度对次网络的中断概率影响显著,依据衰落信道类型合理设置网络参数将有助于提升次网络中断性能。     

Human error probability estimation by coupling simulator data and deterministic analysis

Operator error in diagnosis and execution of task have significant impact on Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) safety. These human errors are classified as mistakes (rule base and knowledge based errors), slip (skill based) and lapses (skill based). Depending on the time of occurrence, human errors have been categorized as i) Category ‘A’ (Pre-Initiators): actions during routine maintenance and testing wherein errors can cause equipment malfunction ii) Category ‘B’ (Initiators): actions contributing to initiating events or plant transients iii) Category ‘C’ (Post-Initiators): actions involved in operator response to an accident. There have been accidents in NPPs because of human error in an operator's diagnosis and execution of an event. These underline the need to appropriately estimate HEP in risk analysis. There are several methods that are being practiced in Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) studies for quantification of human error probability. However, there is no consensus on a single method that should be used. In this paper a method for estimating HEP is proposed which is based on simulator data for a particular accident scenario. For accident scenarios, the data from real NPP control room is very sparsely available. In the absence of real data, simulator based data can be used. Simulator data is expected to provide a glimpse of probable human behavior in real accident situation even though simulator data is not a substitute for real data. The proposed methodology considers the variation in crew performance time in simulator exercise and in available time from deterministic analysis, and couples them through their respective probability distributions to obtain HEP. The emphasis is on suitability of the methodology rather than particulars of the cited example.     

基于振动信号的深沟球轴承滚动体故障诊断研究

目前针对滚动轴承内、外圈故障的诊断方法较为有效,但难以诊断滚动体故障。针对这种情况,利用时域统计参数(有效值、峭度、脉冲因数、裕度因数)与Hilbert包络谱两种方法,对不同转速、负荷和故障程度情况下滚动体故障与正常状况的振动加速度数据进行比较分析,得出了滚动体故障难以诊断的原因,并给出了解决方法。     

Material properties and fire test results

Five material properties commonly used to describe the fire behavior of solids were evaluated as sole explanatory variables for four small‐scale fire tests with pass/fail outcomes by using a physically based probabilistic (phlogistic) burning model. The phlogistic model describes the likelihood of passing vertical Bunsen burner tests and a regulatory heat release rate test reasonably well over a wide range of material properties, as deduced from the correlation coefficient and mean deviation of the predicted and measured values. Of the thermal, combustion, and fire properties examined, the best predictors of the likelihood of passing the fire tests of this study were the heat of combustion of the sample, the heat release capacity, and the heat release parameter. The relative merits and drawbacks of qualitative (threshold) and quantitative (probabilistic) approaches to predicting fire test results using thermal and combustion properties are discussed. Published 2013. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.     

危险化学品环境污染事故统计分析及预防策略

文章搜集了我国2000~2012年133起典型危险化学品环境污染事故,根据污染要素分为大气污染事故、水污染事故和土壤污染事故。运用数理统计方法,分析了各类事故的发生原因、危害、影响因素及应急处置特点。最后结合上述事故的分析,对我国危险化学品环境污染事故的应急管理工作提出几点建议。     

基于Kriging代理模型的TP304不锈钢裂尖驱动力概率预测（英文）

为了探究材料和载荷的随机性对TP304不锈钢裂尖驱动力的影响规律,通过将弹塑性有限元和Kriging代理模型相结合,实现裂尖驱动力的概率预测。为了提高有限元分析的效率,使用MATLAB对ABAQUS软件的前置处理和后置处理程序进行二次开发,实现随机样本的自动更改、批量计算和概率预测结果的自动分析。研究得到了随机因素作用下TP304不锈钢材料裂尖驱动力的统计分布规律,以及失效概率、失效概率密度函数、累计概率密度函数等概率特征,并对各随机因素的灵敏度进行了分析。最后,通过与Monte Carlo法对比分析了该方法的有效性和效率。结果表明,载荷和材料参数的随机性会显著影响TP304不锈钢裂纹尖端的驱动力,从而影响TP304不锈钢的失效概率,载荷和应变硬化指数对奥氏体TP304不锈钢材料裂尖驱动力的分散性影响最大。     

Using Singular Value Decomposition to Characterize Protein–Protein Interactions by In‐cell NMR Spectroscopy

Distinct differences between how model proteins interact in‐cell and in vitro suggest that the cytosol might have a profound effect in modulating protein–protein and/or protein–ligand interactions that are not observed in vitro. Analyses of in‐cell NMR spectra of target proteins interacting with physiological partners are further complicated by low signal‐to‐noise ratios, and the long overexpression times used in protein–protein interaction studies may lead to changes in the in‐cell spectra over the course of the experiment. To unambiguously resolve the principal binding mode between two interacting species against the dynamic cellular background, we analyzed in‐cell spectral data of a target protein over the time course of overexpression of its interacting partner by using single‐value decomposition (SVD). SVD differentiates between concentration‐dependent and concentration‐independent events and identifies the principal binding mode between the two species. The analysis implicates a set of amino acids involved in the specific interaction that differs from previous NMR analyses but is in good agreement with crystallographic data.